Dillon Brooks Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has put up 3.6 assists per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.0 more than he's put up over the course of the season at home.
Dillon Brooks has averaged 29.0 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Dillon Brooks will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (98th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Magic have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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