Dillon Brooks Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has posted 2.7 assists per game this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA in this category over this stretch.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

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