Dillon Brooks Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Dillon Brooks

NBA · Player Props

Dillon Brooks

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dillon Brooks Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dillon Brooks has posted 2.9 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the league in this category recently: 75th percentile.
Dillon Brooks has played 29.6 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Dillon Brooks will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Dillon Brooks has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Suns have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year while on the road (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Suns.

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