Devin Vassell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Devin Vassell

NBA · Player Props

Devin Vassell

G-F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 2:39 AM EST

Analysis

Devin Vassell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Vassell has made 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.
Devin Vassell has played 30.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 82nd percentile.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a positive matchup.
The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Devin Vassell has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's committed in all games this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Spurs.
As a team, the Spurs have been poor at getting to the free-throw line when playing on the road: 4th-worst in the league this year, drawing a lowly 20.2 free throws per game.
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
Devin Vassell is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

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