Devin Vassell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Devin Vassell

NBA · Player Props

Devin Vassell

G-F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 1:55 AM EST

Analysis

Devin Vassell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Vassell has attempted 5.7 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Spurs check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost possessions for the Spurs.
Devin Vassell has converted 87.7% of his free throw attempts this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.9).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Devin Vassell ought to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats considering being on the road in this matchup.

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