Devin Vassell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Devin Vassell

NBA · Player Props

Devin Vassell

G-F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Devin Vassell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Vassell has converted 2.2 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.
Devin Vassell has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Spurs.
Among all players in the NBA, Devin Vassell measures in the 88th percentile for foul-shot efficiency with an impressive 88.9% rate this year.
The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home (6th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 1.3 three-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a challenging matchup.
The 6th-slowest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Devin Vassell ought to see a decline in output across the board considering being on the road in this game.

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