Devin Vassell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2024

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Devin Vassell

NBA · Player Props

Devin Vassell

G-F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 25, 2024

Updated Dec 25, 2024 9:34 PM EST

Analysis

Devin Vassell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Devin Vassell registers in the 87th percentile for 3-point shots sunk, posting 2.3 per game this year.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have compiled 21.5 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, branding this as a good matchup for offensive performance.
The Spurs have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the league, Devin Vassell slots into the 86th percentile for foul-shot performance with an exceptional 87.7% rate this year.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Spurs's subpar 107.0 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 7th-worst in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Spurs.
The matchup vs. New York may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks have the home court advantage (3rd-least in the NBA).
Devin Vassell figures to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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