Devin Vassell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Devin Vassell

NBA · Player Props

Devin Vassell

G-F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Devin Vassell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Vassell has attempted 18.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Devin Vassell has attempted 6.1 threes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
Devin Vassell has averaged 30.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
In regard to scoring, the Spurs's stellar 116.2 points per game comes in as the 7th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.

Favors Under

This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 26.1% on threes (14th-weakest in the league) against the Rockets, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Houston Rockets have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Devin Vassell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen stat production across the board.

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