Devin Vassell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Devin Vassell

NBA · Player Props

Devin Vassell

G-F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Devin Vassell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Vassell has attempted 17.6 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Devin Vassell lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 30.2 minutes per game on the road this year.
Devin Vassell has committed 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the league (19th percentile).
The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 28th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.8).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
Devin Vassell will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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