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Devin Vassell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Devin Vassell has successfully made 2.3 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.Devin Vassell has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling.As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.This year, the other team has averaged 32.5% on 3-pointers (worst in the league) vs. the Pelicans, designating this as a difficult matchup.The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In contrast to last year's 15.7 rate, Devin Vassell's shots have fallen this year to 13.4 per game.The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have nabbed 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 23.3 free throws per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans, finding it easy to get to the foul line.Devin Vassell will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.
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