Devin Vassell Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

NBA · Player Props

Devin Vassell

G-F · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Devin Vassell Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Vassell has attempted 6.1 threes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
Devin Vassell has averaged 30.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
Devin Vassell has committed 1.0 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.
The Spurs are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Houston Rockets).

Favors Under

This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 26.1% on threes (14th-weakest in the league) against the Rockets, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Houston Rockets have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Devin Vassell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen stat production across the board.