Devin Booker Points - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2023

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Devin Booker

NBA · Player Props

Devin Booker

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · May 7, 2023

Updated May 8, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Booker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Booker has scored 37.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 higher than he's scored in all games this season.
Devin Booker has successfully made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made from three over the course of the year.
Devin Booker has played 35.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Devin Booker will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Devin Booker has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (94th percentile).
The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for threes; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Suns.
Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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