Devin Booker Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2023

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Devin Booker

NBA · Player Props

Devin Booker

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 29, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Booker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Booker has scored 37.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.6 higher than he's scored over the course of the season.
Devin Booker has converted 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
Devin Booker has been on the court for 42.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Devin Booker has attempted 8.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The matchup against Denver is a difficult one; when the Nuggets are on their home court, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (14.2).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Suns.
The Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been lousy at getting to the foul line: 6th-worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 22.1 foul shot attempts per game.

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