Devin Booker Points - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Devin Booker

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers · Apr 18, 2023

Updated Apr 19, 2023 2:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Booker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Booker has posted 27.7 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 98th percentile.
Devin Booker has averaged 34.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Devin Booker has attempted 9.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Clippers are on the road (22nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Devin Booker has converted a mere 2.1 3-pointers per game this year, significantly less than his 2.7 rate last year.
The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 11th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.9).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.
The Clippers have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Suns.
When playing away from home, the Clippers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).