Devin Booker Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Devin Booker

NBA · Player Props

Devin Booker

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 2:14 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Booker Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Booker has averaged a terrific 7.8 assists per game this year, quite a bit more than his 5.8 assists per game last year.
Devin Booker has tallied 35.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
This year, opposing clubs have snagged 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).
Devin Booker will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Devin Booker has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (97th percentile).
The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
The Suns rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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