Devin Booker Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2023

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Devin Booker

NBA · Player Props

Devin Booker

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · May 1, 2023

Updated May 2, 2023 2:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Booker Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Booker has averaged 7.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Devin Booker has been on the court for 42.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's been on the court for overall this season.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Devin Booker has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Suns.
The Nuggets have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Devin Booker will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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