Devin Booker Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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Devin Booker

NBA · Player Props

Devin Booker

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 1:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Booker Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Booker has averaged 5.5 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 93rd percentile.
Devin Booker has played 34.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Devin Booker will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Devin Booker has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (94th percentile).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Suns.

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