Devin Booker Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Devin Booker

NBA · Player Props

Devin Booker

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 2:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Booker Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Booker has tallied 5.4 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 93rd percentile.
Devin Booker has averaged 34.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Devin Booker will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Devin Booker has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Suns.
Away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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