Desmond Bane Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2023

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Desmond Bane

NBA · Player Props

Desmond Bane

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 13, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 10:27 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Bane Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Desmond Bane has tallied 4.2 defensive rebounds per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.
Desmond Bane has averaged 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 5.7 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Desmond Bane has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Desmond Bane will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player production for all stats.

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