Desmond Bane Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2025

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Desmond Bane

NBA · Player Props

Desmond Bane

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat · Mar 15, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 11:44 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Bane Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Desmond Bane has attempted 17.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Desmond Bane has averaged 30.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Heat, making this a good matchup.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Desmond Bane has made just 2.2 threes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 3.3 rate last year.
Desmond Bane has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
The matchup vs. Miami may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are away from home (4th-least in the league).

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