Desmond Bane Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2025

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Desmond Bane

NBA · Player Props

Desmond Bane

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Jan 30, 2025

Updated Jan 31, 2025 4:08 AM EST

Analysis

Desmond Bane Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Desmond Bane has converted 8.1 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 higher than he's made in all games this year.
Desmond Bane has converted 49.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 10.4% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year with the home court advantage.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank best in in the NBA while at home with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Desmond Bane has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (82nd percentile).
The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Rockets, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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