Desmond Bane Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Desmond Bane

NBA · Player Props

Desmond Bane

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Desmond Bane Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Desmond Bane has sunk 8.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Desmond Bane has sunk 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (18.1).
The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane comes in at the 90th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Grizzlies are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 10th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).
Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has brought down 10.0 offensive boards per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (retaining possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).
Desmond Bane will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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