Desmond Bane Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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Desmond Bane

NBA · Player Props

Desmond Bane

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Desmond Bane Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Hawks are at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 9th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (13.6).
The Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Atlanta Hawks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Desmond Bane has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Desmond Bane has attempted a measly 5.5 three-pointers per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 8.6 rate last season.
Desmond Bane has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (88th percentile).
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.
Desmond Bane will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

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