Desmond Bane Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Desmond Bane

NBA · Player Props

Desmond Bane

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Bane Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Desmond Bane has scored 25.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 higher than he's scored in all games this season.
Desmond Bane has played 37.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's played in all games this year.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Bucks are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (41.2%).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Desmond Bane has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.3 more than he's been called for overall this year on the road.
The Bucks have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Desmond Bane will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance across the board.

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