Desmond Bane Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Desmond Bane

NBA · Player Props

Desmond Bane

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Desmond Bane Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Desmond Bane has sunk 3.9 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year.
Desmond Bane has played 35.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.6 more than he's played overall this year.
The matchup against Dallas is a good one; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (16.7).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Desmond Bane has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Grizzlies.
The matchup against Dallas may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Mavericks are the visiting squad (11th-least in the NBA).

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