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Derrick White

Derrick White Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Derrick White Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Derrick White has converted 3.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
  • Derrick White has averaged 31.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest pace road offense in the league this year (the Pistons).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • Over the last 20 games, their opposition has come down with 10.0 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 27.6% on three-pointers (14th-weakest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, marking this as a hard matchup.
  • The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics.
  • As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at drawing fouls playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 20.3 free throws per game.

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