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Derrick White

Derrick White Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

Derrick White Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Derrick White comes in at the 84th percentile for three-pointers hit when playing on the road, tallying 2.4 per game this year.

In terms of scoring, the Boston Celtics's excellent 125.2 points per game at home settles in as the 2nd-most in the league this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have scored 20.9 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a strong matchup for offensive productivity.

The Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Boston Celtics.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick White has made a measly 44.4% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 83.6 rate last year.

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