Derrick White Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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Derrick White

NBA · Player Props

Derrick White

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Derrick White Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick White has converted 51.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this season when playing on the road.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Heat have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to the other team this year (which also lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Heat is a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted an enormous 18.2 free throws per game while on his home court this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Derrick White has sunk a measly 1.7 foul shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 2.5 mark last season.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for three-pointers; playing at home, opposing teams have totaled the 2nd-least threes per game in the league this year (14.0).
The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

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