Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2025

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs LA Clippers · Mar 14, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 1.3 offensive boards per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 78th percentile.
The LA Clippers are expected to get a boost in possessions today from facing the most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Hawks).

Favors Under

The 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the LA Clippers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 4thworst in in the league with a mere 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production across the board.

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