Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+138/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has compiled 1.6 offensive rebounds per game this year on the road, putting him among the league's best in this category recently: 82nd percentile.
The LA Clippers will likely see an increase in plays today from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

The 9th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the LA Clippers.
The LA Clippers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production for all stats.

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