Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 1.7 offensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's best by this standard in recent days: 86th percentile.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise opportunities for the Clippers.

Favors Under

The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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