Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 1.3 offensive boards per game this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric in recent days.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Derrick Jones Jr. will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league when playing at home this year.
The Clippers are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

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