Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · LA Clippers

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs LA Clippers · Nov 13, 2024

Updated Nov 14, 2024 12:44 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has posted 2.0 offensive rebounds per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers rank 6th-best in the league without the home court advantage with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Clippers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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