Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 6/14/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics · Jun 14, 2024

Updated Jun 14, 2024 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-118/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled 1.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 31.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
Derrick Jones Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Celtics).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

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