Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/30/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 30, 2024

Updated May 31, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has put up 1.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games, 0.5 more than he's put up in all games this season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.2 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 1.4 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces stat production across the board.

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