Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/26/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 26, 2024

Updated May 26, 2024 11:56 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has compiled 2.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.0 more than he's compiled over the course of the season at home.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 7.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
Derrick Jones Jr. ought to get a boost in output across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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