Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/24/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 24, 2024

Updated May 24, 2024 11:56 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has posted 1.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's posted overall this year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
The 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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