Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/18/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 18, 2024

Updated May 19, 2024 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has compiled 2.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.8 higher than he's compiled overall this season at home.
Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.5 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
The Mavericks will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
Derrick Jones Jr. figures to get a boost in productivity for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's committed overall this season.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with only 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

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