Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/15/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 15, 2024

Updated May 16, 2024 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has put up 1.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's put up in all games this year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should raise opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.1 more than he's been called for overall this season on the road.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
Derrick Jones Jr. is expected to suffer a reduction in performance for all stats on account of being on the road in this contest.

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