Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/13/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 13, 2024

Updated May 14, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled 2.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 0.6 more than he's totaled overall this year at home.
Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Mavericks.
Derrick Jones Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The 6th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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