Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 7:32 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -159 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has posted 2.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's posted overall this season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Mavericks.
Derrick Jones Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

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