Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 7, 2024

Updated May 8, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled 2.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's totaled in all games this season.
Derrick Jones Jr. has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's played over the course of the season.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost opportunities for the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. should suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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