Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · May 3, 2024

Updated May 4, 2024 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-162/+136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled 1.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's totaled in all games this year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
Derrick Jones Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's committed overall this season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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