Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · May 1, 2024

Updated May 2, 2024 2:07 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has put up 1.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's put up in all games this year.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Mavericks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Mavericks.
Derrick Jones Jr. figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats considering being on the road in this matchup.

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