Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 28, 2024 7:16 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this metric recently: 79th percentile.
The 6th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 10th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Clippers).
Derrick Jones Jr. will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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