Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 23, 2024

Updated Apr 24, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+124/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled 1.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.5 more than he's totaled over the course of the season on the road.
Relative to last season's 13.7 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has risen this season to 23.4 minutes per game.
The Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance across the board.

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