Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 11:09 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 13.7 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has surged this year to 23.3 minutes per game.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to raise plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

The Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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