Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 19, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +132 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled 1.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's totaled overall this year.
Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged a whopping 23.6 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 13.7 minutes per game last season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league this year, which should raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Derrick Jones Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production for all stats.

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