Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged 1.2 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this metric over this stretch of games: 77th percentile.
The 3rd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
Derrick Jones Jr. ought to see an increase in output across the board considering having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

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