Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Derrick Jones Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Derrick Jones Jr.

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Jones Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+109/-141).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Derrick Jones Jr. has compiled 1.2 offensive boards per game this year at home, ranking him among the hottest players in the league by this metric in recent days: 75th percentile.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.
Derrick Jones Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Derrick Jones Jr. has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.2 higher than he's committed in all games this season at home.
The Mavericks rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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